US election pollsters get predictions wrong by underestimating white turnout in rural areas |
Daily Mail Online
How did the pollsters get it so wrong? They underestimated white turnout in rural areas and overestimated black and millennial voters
Until the eleventh hour predictions were that Hillary had an 85 percent chance of winning the election
Even Tuesday's exit poll had Clinton winning almost everywhere at 5 p.m.
Trump supporters claim the speculators got it wrong because of partisan bias after the Republican won a stunning victory
'People have been told that they have to be embarrassed to support Donald Trump, even in a telephone poll,' says consultant Frank McCarthy
Of all major national surveys, the LA Times and IBD/TIPP tracking polls were the only two to call a Trump victory
Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight - which correctly called the last two elections - forecast a 66 per cent likelihood that Clinton will take the White House
CBS, ABC/Washington Post, Bloomberg, Rasmussen, Monmouth University and NBC News/Survey Monkey all got it wrong
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3919098/Pollsters-kicking-getting-predictions-wrong-underestimating-white-turnout-rural-areas-overestimating-black-millennial-voters.html#ixzz4PWi9j0ei
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Pundits and Pollsters — Wrong again!!!